Why an offer can look lower than expected
Excess is often bought during a shortage — at the top of the market, at prices nobody would pay today, because at the time the alternative was a stopped line. Understandably, the original invoice becomes the thing to measure against, and that is usually where expectations and offers begin to diverge.
Here is an example of a case we see fairly often, with the numbers rounded off because it is an illustration rather than a rate card. A part was bought at $3.00 each during a period of scarcity. The company hopes to recover a quarter of that, so $0.75. The shortage has since passed, replacements have arrived, supply has normalised, and the part now trades at around $0.50. An offer of $0.25 arrives.
$3.00
What it cost, bought in a shortage
$0.75
Hoped for — a quarter of cost
$0.50
What it is worth today
Measured against the $0.50 the part is worth today, that is a reasonable offer. Measured against the $0.75 the company had in mind, it looks a little far away — and that expectation was a modest quarter of cost, not an unreasonable one.
What often follows is a stand-off that suits nobody. The seller holds on, reluctant to let good stock go for less than they had in mind. At the other end, the buyer the offer came from has priced against the current market, knows the number is a fair one, and moves on to something else — and the demand that made that price possible does not always wait.
Often the offer is fair. It is the comparison that makes it look otherwise.
We have deliberately not put a typical percentage here, because there is not one. The expectations we come across run from five per cent of original cost to a hundred, and what a line actually fetches depends on the part, its condition, its provenance and what the market happens to want. A single figure would probably do more harm than good.
What tends to help is not a percentage at all, but a change of reference point: where you can, check what the part is worth in today's market and judge the offer against that, rather than against what it cost in a different market some years ago.